The first deciding events in an election year are the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, which usually take place in February. It’s why names like Dwayne Johnson, Tucker Carlson and Dave Portnoy have been on the board for months. Simply being a celebrity with a sizable following seems to be enough these days. The US elected Trump, who had no previous political experience, in 2016. There are plenty of long shots on the board this time around given the current political climate. Here’s the full list of one-term presidents and their tenures in office:Īs for Trump, he remains among the favorites. Prior to 2020, it hadn’t happened in nearly 30 years. That’s partially because ousting an incumbent president has proven very difficult in US history. So far in US history, no major party has ever opted not to renominate an incumbent when he’s been eligible for reelection. DeSantis, meanwhile, had actually been the overall betting favorite at times during the first half of this year.īiden remains the likely Democratic nominee despite struggling in polls.
had the third shortest odds, behind Biden and Trump, during the late summer months. Falling on 2024 Presidential odds boards in the past few months have been anti-vaxxer Robert Kennedy Jr.